Arizona State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
83  Zach Zarda SR 31:48
116  Nick Happe SR 31:56
198  Ryan Herson FR 32:14
208  Darius Terry SR 32:15
311  Garrett Baker-Slama SO 32:30
402  Steven Schnieders JR 32:41
626  Garrett Seawell JR 33:10
1,074  Josh Walker SR 33:53
1,097  CJ Albertson FR 33:55
National Rank #31 of 311
West Region Rank #6 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 59.7%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 2.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 18.9%


Regional Champion 2.3%
Top 5 in Regional 67.3%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Zach Zarda Nick Happe Ryan Herson Darius Terry Garrett Baker-Slama Steven Schnieders Garrett Seawell Josh Walker CJ Albertson
Grand Canyon University Invitational 10/06 1141 33:26 33:01
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 658 31:42 32:10 32:15 32:19 32:22 33:41 33:44
Pac-12 Championships 10/27 509 31:35 31:25 32:06 32:02 32:21 32:28 32:46 34:42 34:13
West Region Championships 11/09 786 32:27 32:10 32:24 32:29 33:03 32:25 33:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 59.7% 22.8 534 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.3 4.1 3.9 4.3 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.2
Region Championship 100% 4.8 152 2.3 7.5 13.2 19.8 24.5 17.5 9.5 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Zarda 73.9% 80.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nick Happe 66.2% 97.5 0.0
Ryan Herson 59.9% 141.7
Darius Terry 59.8% 146.1
Garrett Baker-Slama 59.7% 181.8
Steven Schnieders 59.7% 205.0
Garrett Seawell 59.9% 240.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Zarda 12.1 0.4 2.0 4.5 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.3 5.2 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.3 1.4
Nick Happe 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.6 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.1 5.3 4.4 4.9 3.6 4.0 3.7 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.5
Ryan Herson 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.3
Darius Terry 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.8 3.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.0
Garrett Baker-Slama 47.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3
Steven Schnieders 58.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2
Garrett Seawell 86.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.3% 100.0% 2.3 2.3 1
2 7.5% 100.0% 7.5 7.5 2
3 13.2% 93.5% 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.4 0.5 0.9 12.3 3
4 19.8% 82.6% 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.2 3.3 1.8 3.4 16.4 4
5 24.5% 57.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.2 3.3 5.1 10.3 14.2 5
6 17.5% 36.6% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.5 2.7 11.1 6.4 6
7 9.5% 5.7% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 9.0 0.5 7
8 3.5% 0.6% 0.0 3.5 0.0 8
9 1.6% 1.6 9
10 0.4% 0.4 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 59.7% 2.3 7.5 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.8 5.7 7.6 10.7 10.4 40.3 9.8 49.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
UCLA 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
North Carolina St. 20.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 2.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0